{"id":7062,"date":"2023-06-07T17:03:51","date_gmt":"2023-06-07T22:03:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/?p=7062"},"modified":"2023-06-07T17:03:51","modified_gmt":"2023-06-07T22:03:51","slug":"projecting-penn-state-football-2023-season-record-with-updated-espn-fpi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/projecting-penn-state-football-2023-season-record-with-updated-espn-fpi\/","title":{"rendered":"Projecting Penn State football 2023 season record with updated ESPN FPI"},"content":{"rendered":"

James Franklin<\/a><\/strong> has made plain the aspirations of the Penn State football program this offseason. With the final season of a four-team postseason at work for the College Football Playoff, in his 10th year with the Nittany Lions, he\u2019d like to deliver a berth<\/a><\/strong> before the expansion to 12 teams next season.<\/p>\n

Recognizing the closing window of the current CFP era, that leaves the 2023 season to do so.<\/p>\n

\u201cYeah, I think so,\u201d Franklin said. \u201cBecause people look at different eras. You look at the BCS era. And then you look at the current college playoff model and it being four teams, and how that is viewed. Were you a part of that model or not during your time?\u201d<\/p>\n

Armed with improvements expected on the offensive line, at tight end, and at running back on offense, with an elite defense returning this fall, Franklin is determined to answer that question to the affirmative. Questions remain<\/a><\/strong> with a new quarterback and among the receivers group, but the aim of the program doesn\u2019t change within those parameters.<\/p>\n

\u201cYeah. I think at the end of the day, I would love to put Penn State and our team, and specifically this year, in a position to be a part of that conversation and make a run at this thing,\u201d Franklin told BWI. \u201cEspecially with it being probably the last year.\u201d<\/p>\n

To get there, Penn State will need to work through a 12-game regular season ranging wildly in difficulty from its easiest to most challenging games.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Examining the schedule according to the updated ESPN Football Power Index<\/a><\/strong> for college football, which includes a wide range of analytical factors, the Nittany Lions enter the 2023 season ranked 10th. Here, we\u2019ll look at the calculated likelihood of reaching those goals this season:<\/p>\n

Penn State 2023 season projections<\/h2>\n

Projected win\/loss record:<\/strong> 9.3-2.7<\/p>\n

Unbeaten season:<\/strong> 0.9 percent chance<\/p>\n

Win 6 games:<\/strong> 99.9 percent chance<\/p>\n

Win Big Ten East Division: <\/strong>6.3 percent<\/p>\n

Win Big Ten: <\/strong>4.6 percent<\/p>\n

Make College Football Playoff:<\/strong> 10.7 percent<\/p>\n

Make National Championship game:<\/strong> 3.5 percent<\/p>\n

Win National Championship:<\/strong> 1.0 percent<\/p>\n

Tasked with taking on two of the six highest-ranked teams in the Power Index heading into the 2023 season, Penn State\u2019s path to winning the Big Ten East and the Big Ten is analytically considered more challenging than emerging from the regular season as one of the final four teams chosen for the CFP.<\/p>\n

That reality plays out in the fact that Ohio State checks in at No. 1, with a 75.5 percent chance to win the division and 71.2 percent chance to win the conference. Michigan, meanwhile, is at No. 6 with a 17.6 percent chance to win the division and 14.3 percent chance to win the conference.\u00a0<\/p>\n

No other division in college football can claim three teams in the FPI top 10 ahead of the 2023 season.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Garnering an understanding of where Penn State is most likely to face setbacks during the 2023 season is also available via the ESPN FPI.<\/p>\n

Penn State schedule by winning likelihood percentages<\/h2>\n

9\/2 \u2013 7:30 p.m. \u2013 West Virginia \u2013 91 percent<\/p>\n

9\/9 \u2013 12 p.m. \u2013 Delaware \u2013 99 percent<\/p>\n

9\/16 \u2013 12 p.m. \u2013 at Illinois \u2013 75.5 percent<\/p>\n

9\/23 \u2013 7:30 p.m. \u2013 Iowa \u2013 83.9 percent<\/p>\n

9\/30 \u2013 TBD \u2013 at Northwestern \u2013 87.1 percent<\/p>\n

10\/14 \u2013 TBD \u2013 UMass \u2013 99 percent<\/p>\n

10\/21 \u2013 TBD \u2013 at Ohio State \u2013 11.6 percent<\/p>\n

10\/28 \u2013 TBD \u2013 Indiana \u2013 94.6 percent<\/p>\n

11\/4 \u2013 TBD \u2013 at Maryland \u2013 76.3 percent<\/p>\n

11\/11 \u2013 12 p.m. \u2013 Michigan \u2013 46.9 percent<\/p>\n

11\/18 \u2013 TBD \u2013 Rutgers \u2013 94.7 percent<\/p>\n

11\/24 \u2013 7:30 p.m. \u2013 at Michigan State (Ford Field, Detroit) \u2013 67.8 percent<\/p>\n

The post Projecting Penn State football 2023 season record with updated ESPN FPI<\/a> appeared first on On3<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

James Franklin has made plain the aspirations of the Penn State football program this offseason….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7062","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7062"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7062\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7062"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7062"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/demo.wztzfm.com\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7062"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}